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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp?

Volume:
$39,986

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

 - Kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 8:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,404
N/A
N/A
$12,019
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,485
N/A
N/A
$14,825
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hiroshima Carp. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, or a 50/50 split if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi is tracking a different game than the one specified in the group name and Polymarket's description, rendering its market unresolvable within the stated context.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is tracking the wrong game. Focus exclusively on the Polymarket market, which correctly references the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp game. A win for either team resolves the market accordingly. Postponement keeps the market open, cancellation/tie results in a 50-50 split. "If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp".
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers game scheduled for September 9, 2026. A win by either team resolves the market to 'Yes'. "If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Hanshin Tigers Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 13 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Hanshin Tigers Japan NPB game originally scheduled for September 9, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins, their market resolves to Yes; if Hanshin Tigers win, their market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price. A tied game results in both markets resolving at 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded, as it aggregates diverse perspectives. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes, and both sources can provide valuable information for informed betting.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-making strategies. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. For example, a large trade on Polymarket might shift the odds significantly, while Kalshi might react more slowly due to lower volume. These differences create opportunities for arbitrage, but also reflect the independent assessments of each platform’s participants.