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406,065

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30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
polymarket
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp

Volume:
$221,187

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

 - Kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 8:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$111,071
N/A
N/A
$55,550
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103,790
N/A
N/A
$54,845
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and Hiroshima Carp scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this game, with resolution dependent on which team wins.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Hiroshima win or Tokyo win) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market as written cannot function - it needs either a No condition or a third outcome option. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should be preferred.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear resolution paths: Swallows win resolves to Tokyo Yakult Swallows, Carp win resolves to Hiroshima Carp. Postponements keep market open, cancellations/ties/no make-up games resolve 50-50. Resolution source is official NPB information or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Yes/No market with critical logical flaw: both possible outcomes (Hiroshima wins OR Tokyo wins) are defined to resolve to Yes, with no defined No resolution condition. This creates an unresolvable market structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 25 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. In the event the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp matchup tracks aggregated predictions across multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different results. It displays total volume of $221,187 and 24-hour volume of $203,600, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment. The view updates continuously, letting you compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users evaluate this market, even when their prices diverge.