TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 8:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hanshin Tigers. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the contest.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both teams in the specified college baseball game. Each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the combined runs exceed the corresponding threshold of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and date, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied trader sentiment and market-specific dynamics. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of participants, which can lead to divergent pricing. Traders should compare both to identify potential value, as each approach incorporates different inputs and perspectives.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through active buying and selling of contracts representing possible run totals. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders for each outcome. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows participants to express their expectations freely, often resulting in sharp and responsive odds that shift with new information or shifts in trader confidence.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the game will determine whether the over or under target is met, closing the market and settling all positions based on the actual run total recorded during the match.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and changes in team performance leading up to the match could all shift this market. Traders will also react to any pre-game news, such as lineup announcements or pitching changes, as well as broader trends in team form. Each update can cause rapid adjustments in odds as participants reassess their expectations.