TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hanshin Tigers in their college baseball game. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer more selective resolution criteria for the market.
The event evaluates multiple run-total thresholds for a single baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and Hanshin Tigers, scheduled for August 18, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market outcome. If the combined runs scored by both teams exceed any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its entities, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. All markets share the same underlying game and timestamp, ensuring consistency in the event being referenced across thresholds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance represented as a percentage. The current probability reflects market participants’ collective assessment of the most likely total runs range. Volume of $22,587 and recent 24-hour volume of $16,915 indicate liquidity and interest levels, influencing how prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the total runs fall above or below the set line, closing the market based on official game results.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and strategic decisions by coaches can all influence this market as the event nears. Changes in team performance leading up to the match, pitching rotations, and any last-minute lineup adjustments may shift trader expectations. As Aug 18, 2026 approaches, real-time game updates and pre-game analysis from experts will likely cause noticeable movements in odds.