TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 8:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team secures a lead beyond specific run thresholds, providing insight into expected competitiveness and potential outcomes of the game.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the run differential between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hanshin Tigers in their game scheduled for August 19, 2026. Each scenario defines a specific condition under which the respective market resolves to 'Yes'. If the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves positively. If the Hanshin Tigers win by a narrower margin—more than 1.5 but not exceeding 2.5 runs—the second market triggers a 'Yes'. Conversely, if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves positively. Finally, if the Swallows win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market is satisfied. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each uses an independent threshold to determine resolution, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of victory magnitude for either team. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official ties to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their outlooks, which can lead to sharper or more volatile prices. Traders watch both sources to spot discrepancies, but the dynamics of each market remain distinct.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final run difference from the game determines which side wins, and the platform updates the market status accordingly shortly after the official result is announced.