TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers
polymarket
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers

Volume:
$168,325

Hanshin Tigers

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 8:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$93,349
N/A
N/A
$53,089
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70,027
N/A
N/A
$41,263
Settled
No
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hanshin Tigers scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and Yes/No format (Kalshi) that creates logical inconsistencyHero tip: Avoid arbitrage opportunities as they will disappear once Kalshi corrects its market structure. Trade cautiously until platform logic aligns. Monitor official NPB announcements for game status updates.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name if that team wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations/postponements - clear binary outcome structure
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for either team win - fundamentally flawed structure that treats both possible outcomes as the same resolution
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 31 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Hanshin Tigers wins the Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins the Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Swallows vs. Tigers matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders on different platforms price this contest. It displays total volume of $168,325 and 24-hour volume of $145,845, alongside the current consensus view shaped by bets placed on Polymarket and Kalshi. This gives you a live snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity around the Swallows vs. Tigers matchup market.