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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers?

Volume:
$100,074

Hanshin Tigers

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 9:39 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,538
N/A
N/A
$26,846
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,770
N/A
N/A
$26,008
Settled
No
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a single NPB (Japanese professional baseball) game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hanshin Tigers. The market determines which team wins the game, with a 50-50 split resolution if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi specifies a game date in 2026, while Polymarket implies a current or near-future game. This creates a significant temporal divergence.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket's resolution logic as it aligns with typical sports market timing. However, monitor for official announcements regarding the game schedule.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the winner of the game, with a 50-50 split for cancellations or ties. "If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers"."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins a game specifically scheduled for September 22, 2026. "If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 22 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Hanshin Tigers wins the Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins the Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated understanding of potential outcomes compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, creating a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can become highly accurate as the event approaches and more traders participate, refining the implied probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Differences in trader demographics, liquidity, and the specific incentives offered on each platform all contribute. Polymarket may attract a different class of traders than Kalshi, leading to varying risk assessments and predictions. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform—Polymarket has seen volume of $100,074—can influence price discovery. Market makers and arbitrageurs play a role in reducing discrepancies, but temporary imbalances are common and reflect the unique dynamics of each exchange.

Several signals could significantly move this market. Key player injuries or unexpected changes in team performance are major catalysts. Any news regarding pitching rotations, batting lineups, or managerial decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, results from regular season games leading up to the playoffs will provide valuable data points. Major upsets or dominant performances by either the Tokyo Yakult Swallows or the Hanshin Tigers will likely cause shifts in probabilities, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.