TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers
kalshi
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers

Volume:
$133,800

Hanshin Tigers

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 8:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60,267
N/A
N/A
$39,712
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,170
N/A
N/A
$57,862
Settled
No
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Hanshin Tigers scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental settlement value mismatch between platforms - Polymarket uses team names with 50-50 tie option, while Kalshi resolves to Yes for any winning outcomeHero tip: Do not hedge positions across these platforms. Polymarket requires specific team outcomes while Kalshi treats any win as Yes. Monitor official NPB announcements for game status changes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name for wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations: "If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, market resolves to 'Tokyo Yakult Swallows'. If Hanshin Tigers win, resolves to 'Hanshin Tigers'. If game is canceled entirely or ends in tie, resolves 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for any winning outcome: "If Hanshin Tigers wins... market resolves to Yes. If Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins... market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 3 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows Japan NPB game scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for the markets.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Swallows vs. Tigers matchup market aggregates activity across multiple prediction platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume. It tracks how traders on different venues price the contest, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. You can see total volume of $133,800 and 24-hour volume of $128,945, plus the leading outcome as determined by combined platform data. This gives a clear picture of where the market stands for this matchup.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through user-driven trades, reflecting collective trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbook odds incorporate additional factors such as historical performance, injuries, and betting volumes from a broader audience. Prediction market odds like those in the Swallows vs. Tigers matchup market often show sharper movements in response to new information, while sportsbooks may smooth volatility to manage risk. The difference in pricing can also be influenced by the participation of crypto-native traders on platforms like Polymarket, who may have different risk appetites and access to real-time data. Overall, both sets of odds offer unique insights into the perceived likelihood of outcomes.