TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 4:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the margin of victory in a Japan NPB game between Tokyo Yakult Swallows and Chunichi Dragons. Outcomes depend on whether the winning team covers specific run differentials.
The market resolves to Yes if either the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 runs, or the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs in their Japan NPB game scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a different run differential threshold. The secondary rule notes that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the match determines which side of the market is correct, and contracts settle automatically based on that official result.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and strategic decisions by coaches can all shift this market. Traders will also react to pre-game polls, expert analysis, and any last-minute lineup changes that impact the expected performance gap between the teams. Volume of $6,601 may surge around these developments as participants adjust their positions.