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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons: Spread
kalshi

Who will win Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons?

Volume:
$6,066

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 8:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,144
N/A
N/A
$2,135
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,799
N/A
N/A
$1,361
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,292
N/A
N/A
$1,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
$831
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Chunichi Dragons, focusing on the margin of victory. It examines whether either team secures a win by a specific number of runs, reflecting the competitive balance between the two teams in a scheduled match.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons baseball game scheduled for August 21, 2026. Four distinct markets are considered, each addressing a different margin of victory for either team. If the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If the Dragons win by a narrower margin—more than 1.5 but not exceeding 2.5 runs—the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if their victory margin exceeds 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, and the resolution depends solely on the actual run differential at the end of the game, without regard to other market outcomes. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the Japan NPB league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Swallows vs Dragons spread market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume for this specific market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of the Tokyo Yakult Swallows covering the run spread against the Chunichi Dragons. You can monitor trends, spikes, and overall volume of $5,301 to see how sentiment shifts over time.

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, trader-driven view compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, sometimes leading to tighter or more volatile pricing. Comparing the two can reveal differences in perceived probabilities and market sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score and whether the Tokyo Yakult Swallows meet the spread condition, providing a clear and objective resolution for all participants.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in team performance could shift this market. Strong pitching matchups or recent head-to-head results may also influence trader sentiment. Any news affecting either team's chances — from lineup changes to bullpen updates — can cause noticeable price swings as participants reassess probabilities.