TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 8:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Chunichi Dragons, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team secures a win by a specific number of runs, reflecting the competitive balance between the two teams in the matchup.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the run differential in the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons game scheduled for August 6, 2026. If the Chunichi Dragons win by more than 2.5 runs, or by more than 1.5 runs, the relevant market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 runs, or by more than 2.5 runs, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. These rules collectively cover various degrees of victory margin for both teams, ensuring a comprehensive assessment of the game's result beyond a simple win or loss. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the Japan NPB league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread — whether the Dragons win by more or fewer than 2.5 runs — will be determined by the official game result, and contracts settle automatically based on that verified data.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes could shift this market as they affect expected run scoring. Strong performance from starting pitchers or bullpen updates may also sway trader sentiment, moving the implied probability of a Chunichi Dragons win by over 2.5 runs in either direction as the game nears.