TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons?

Volume:
$3,020

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 2.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 2.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 8:05 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,142
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$754
N/A
N/A
$658
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
$603
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$522
N/A
N/A
$380
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Chunichi Dragons, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many runs separate the winning and losing teams when the game concludes. Larger winning margins trigger specific outcomes within the event.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple possible winning margins in a single baseball match between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Chunichi Dragons. Four distinct outcomes are defined based on whether either team wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 runs. If the Chunichi Dragons win by over 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by over 1.5 but not more than 2.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by over 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by over 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game, scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT, and each resolution depends solely on the final run differential without regard to other factors. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on the final score of the Tokyo Yakult Swallows versus Chunichi Dragons game, specifically whether the Dragons’ win margin exceeds 1.5 runs. No internal platform mechanisms determine this — it’s based solely on the game’s official result.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting pitchers can shift this market as they affect expected scoring. Strong performance in earlier matches, updated betting trends, and analyst commentary may also influence trader sentiment. Any new information that alters the perceived likelihood of a Chunichi Dragons win by over 1.5 runs can cause rapid price swings on Kalshi before Aug 5, 2026.