TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Chunichi Dragons, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many runs separate the winning and losing teams when the game concludes. Larger winning margins trigger specific outcomes within the event.
The event evaluates multiple possible winning margins in a single baseball match between the Tokyo Yakult Swallows and the Chunichi Dragons. Four distinct outcomes are defined based on whether either team wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 runs. If the Chunichi Dragons win by over 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by over 1.5 but not more than 2.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by over 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by over 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game, scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT, and each resolution depends solely on the final run differential without regard to other factors. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting pitchers can shift this market as they affect expected scoring. Strong performance in earlier matches, updated betting trends, and analyst commentary may also influence trader sentiment. Any new information that alters the perceived likelihood of a Chunichi Dragons win by over 1.5 runs can cause rapid price swings on Kalshi before Aug 5, 2026.