TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons?

Volume:
$3,786

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 8:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,997
N/A
N/A
$1,880
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$991
N/A
N/A
$517
Settled
No
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
$476
Settled
No
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$291
N/A
N/A
$291
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance gap between two baseball teams in a specific game. It focuses on the margin of victory, indicating how decisively one team outperforms the other. Outcomes are determined by the run difference at the end of the scheduled match.

Kalshi

These markets collectively evaluate the Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons game scheduled for August 4, 2026, assessing the magnitude of victory for either team. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team secures a lead exceeding specified run thresholds—either 1.5 or 2.5 runs—for their respective side. The broader thresholds (2.5 runs) provide a stricter condition for resolution compared to the narrower margin (1.5 runs), allowing multiple potential outcomes depending on the game's final score differential. All markets are independent of official league affiliations, with Kalshi explicitly stating no endorsement or connection to the Governing League. Trademarks and brand elements remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the market’s view of how likely the Swallows are to win by more than the set run margin. Volume of $3,786 and recent 24-hour volume of $3,733 show how active trading is, while price charts help track shifts in sentiment leading up to game time.

This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and run differential will determine whether the Tokyo Yakult Swallows have met the spread conditions, closing all positions at that point.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes to the starting pitching rotation could all shift this market. Performance metrics from the teams’ most recent games, trading patterns on Kalshi, and any last-minute lineup announcements will also influence odds. As the game approaches, any news that affects the teams’ expected performance will likely cause rapid price adjustments, so monitoring credible sports news sources is essential.