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406,065

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2,692

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5

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Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons?

Volume:
$73,600

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

 - Kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 8:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$36,234
N/A
N/A
$24,893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$31,124
N/A
N/A
$21,213
Settled
No
polymarket

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers two distinct NPB baseball match outcomes between Tokyo Yakult Swallows and Chunichi Dragons, and a separate Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons game. The markets differ in their resolution criteria and scope.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental scope mismatch - Kalshi references a Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons game on Sep 1, 2026, while Polymarket references a Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons game on September 5Hero tip: These are two entirely separate baseball games with different teams and dates. Do not confuse the markets. Resolution depends entirely on the specific referenced matchup occurring on its scheduled date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Hiroshima Toyo Carp OR Chunichi Dragons win the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons game scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Tokyo Yakult Swallows if they win, Chunichi Dragons if they win, 50-50 for ties/cancellations, with game scheduled for September 5 at 5:00AM ET
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 5 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chunichi Dragons wins the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the NPB championship race across multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It aggregates volume and recent activity from all venues to give a consensus view of market sentiment. By monitoring aggregated volume of $73,600 and 24-hour volume of $72,484, users can see where interest is concentrated and how confidence shifts over time. The dashboard updates continuously, reflecting the latest bets placed on Polymarket and Kalshi.