TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tokyo vs Machida Z: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Tokyo vs Machida Z?

Volume:
$35,786

Machida Z wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Machida Z wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 8:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Machida Z wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,892
N/A
N/A
$8,968
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Machida Z wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,427
N/A
N/A
$6,074
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Machida Z wins by more than 3.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,230
N/A
N/A
$1,730
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,035
N/A
N/A
$2,345
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,503
N/A
N/A
$1,464
Settled
No
kalshi

Machida Z wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Tokyo and Machida Z, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winner in the Tokyo versus Machida Z Japan J1 League match scheduled for August 8, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific margin of victory: Tokyo winning by more than 2.5 goals, Tokyo winning by more than 1.5 goals, Machida Z winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Machida Z winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds in this market often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced insights driven by engaged fans and analytics enthusiasts. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, this market prices in nuanced expectations from a focused group, potentially offering tighter spreads or different favorite dynamics.

This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on official match results, and the market closes when the result is beyond dispute according to standard sports reporting sources.

Key moments such as player injuries, coaching changes, or recent head-to-head performance can shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, any significant form displayed in lead-up matches, weather conditions on game day, or changes in team motivation ahead of Aug 8, 2026 may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting odds and volume in the run-up to resolution.