TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 7:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event includes several markets focused on the margin of victory in the same Tokyo V versus Frontale soccer match. Outcomes depend on which team wins and by how many goals they win by, relative to different thresholds.
These markets resolve based on the winning margin in the Tokyo V vs Frontale professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for August 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Two teams—Tokyo V and Frontale—are each subject to distinct threshold requirements for winning by sufficient margins. For Tokyo V, markets resolve to 'Yes' if Tokyo V wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals. For Frontale, markets resolve to 'Yes' if Frontale wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a minimum margin of victory that must be exceeded for the corresponding market to settle positively. All markets share the same underlying match and timing constraints.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set prices through their bets, creating a dynamic market price that reflects collective expectations for the match outcome. The current chance assigned to each possible spread result is displayed as a percentage, driven by recent trading volume and shifts in sentiment. This mechanism allows rapid price adjustments as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official match result and goal differentials will be compared against the traded spread to determine which side of this market is correct. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded statistics.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant recent performances by either team could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Weather conditions on game day, disciplinary actions, or even early match events like a goal or red card may cause rapid price swings. All of these factors help traders reassess the likely spread outcome before Aug 9, 2026.