TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 6:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in a baseball game between two professional teams. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The outcome depends entirely on the final score of the game.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Saitama Seibu Lions, scheduled for August 29, 2026. Each market resolves based on the winning team and the margin of victory. Specifically, two markets resolve if the Saitama Seibu Lions win by either more than 1.5 runs or more than 2.5 runs, while the other two markets resolve if the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win by either more than 1.5 runs or more than 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and all secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting the market has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the collective belief about which team will cover the spread. The market price adjusts based on trading volume and recent game performance, giving a real-time snapshot of trader confidence in the teams’ relative strengths for this specific matchup.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score and the spread margin, which will be checked against the market’s defined terms at that time.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, weather conditions on game day, and recent performance trends can all shift this market. Any news that affects the perceived likelihood of one team covering the spread — such as a star player being ruled out or a coaching change — is likely to cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the new information.