TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
polymarket
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

Volume:
$218,203

Saitama Seibu Lions

 - Kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 10:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$119,242
N/A
N/A
$60,971
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94,866
N/A
N/A
$60,360
Settled
No
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Saitama Seibu Lions. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, or postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch - Kalshi's binary design cannot properly handle tie/cancellation scenarios while Polymarket has explicit 50-50 resolution rulesHero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market due to its flawed resolution structure. Polymarket provides proper resolution mechanics including 50-50 splits for ties/cancellations. If participating, use Polymarket for accurate settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team names; 50-50 split for ties/cancellations. Quote: If game is canceled entirely...this market will resolve 50-50
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes for either team win, with no provision for ties/cancellations. Quote: If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins...market resolves to Yes
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 22 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Saitama Seibu Lions wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The NPB matchup market dashboard aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing how traders price the odds of each team winning based on real-time data. It displays total volume of $218,203 and 24-hour volume of $217,364, letting you see consensus views and divergence across platforms. This view helps you spot shifts in sentiment as the game approaches, with all data updating live to reflect market activity.