TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 4:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two teams. It focuses on how many runs one team might win by compared to the other, reflecting the competitive balance expected in the matchup. Outcomes are determined by the final score difference if the game is played as scheduled.
The event consists of four separate outcome markets tied to the same baseball game, each defining a specific winning margin threshold for either team. A 'Yes' outcome resolves if the specified team wins by exceeding the designated run differential—either more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 runs—for their respective victory. All markets apply strictly to the game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT, and no affiliation or endorsement by the governing league or its trademarks is implied through Kalshi.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs and influence the price. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information and opinions from a wider range of sources. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcomes for the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Orix Buffaloes.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles versus Orix Buffaloes game, specifically the final run differential. The market will determine whether the Orix Buffaloes won by over 1.5 runs, as defined by the official game statistics. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or the Orix Buffaloes would likely cause movement. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis. Unexpected performance from either team in preceding games could also impact trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market.