TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes: Spread
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes: Spread

Volume:
$7,764

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 8:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,589
N/A
N/A
$802
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
$483
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,942
N/A
N/A
$3,836
Settled
No
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,670
N/A
N/A
$1,573
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing different thresholds for resolution. The outcome depends purely on the final score difference between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Orix Buffaloes.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Japan NPB game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Orix Buffaloes scheduled for August 25, 2026. Four distinct outcome conditions are evaluated: Orix Buffaloes winning by over 2.5 runs, Orix Buffaloes winning by over 1.5 runs, Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 1.5 runs, and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs. If any of these conditions are met in the originally scheduled game, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Eagles-Buffaloes spread market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the game based on current expectations, with updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The view includes $7,502 in 24-hour volume and $7,764 total volume, giving you insight into how this market is shaping up before resolution.

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and unique positioning. On Kalshi, odds reflect aggregated bets and can shift more quickly with new information compared to sportsbooks, which may hold firmer lines. Traders might see different implied probabilities, especially as game specifics or team news emerge. Monitoring both can offer a broader perspective on market expectations and potential value opportunities.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will determine which side of the spread is correct, closing the market based on official league results.

Injuries, weather updates, and pitcher rotations can all shift expectations and move this market. Key performances in earlier matches, changes to the lineup, or even broader league trends might influence trader sentiment on Kalshi as Aug 25, 2026 approaches. Any last-minute news affecting either team's readiness or strategy could cause rapid adjustments in odds, so staying alert to official team announcements and game-day conditions is essential.