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406,019

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2,689

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes: Spread
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes: Spread

Volume:
$6,031

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 7:35 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,556
N/A
N/A
$4,902
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
$371
Settled
No
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
$66
Settled
No
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two professional teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it reflects how decisively one team defeats the other.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the run differential by which either the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or the Orix Buffaloes win the Japan NPB game scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified run margin: Orix Buffaloes winning by more than 2.5 runs, Orix Buffaloes winning by more than 1.5 runs, Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by more than 1.5 runs, or Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by more than 2.5 runs. If none of these conditions are met—meaning the game ends in a tie, one team wins by exactly the threshold run margin, or the other team wins with a smaller margin—the markets resolve to 'No'. All markets are independent assessments of different victory margins and operate under the same underlying game context without affiliation to the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Eagles vs Buffaloes spread market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $6,031. This single-venue view shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles covering the run spread against the Orix Buffaloes, with all data reflecting only Kalshi activity.

Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader positioning and liquidity dynamics. While sportsbooks may set a fixed spread based on analytic models, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, sometimes producing sharper or more volatile prices depending on recent performance and public sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the final score difference between the two teams, and will match the parameters set in this market at launch.

In the coming weeks, several factors may shift probabilities in this market. Key performances from star players, pitching rotations, and any late-season injuries can all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions or playoff implications as Aug 5, 2026 approaches might also cause rapid adjustments. Follow league updates closely, as momentum swings or coaching decisions often drive sharp movements in betting and prediction markets alike.