TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes?

Volume:
$34,940

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 8:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,864
N/A
N/A
$17,231
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,935
N/A
N/A
$13,605
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the baseball match between Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Orix Buffaloes in Japan's Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB) league. The markets differ in their resolution criteria and edge case handling.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement value mismatch and scope difference between platforms regarding win conditions and tie/cancellation handlingHero tip: Trade cautiously as Kalshi resolves to Yes for any win while Polymarket requires specific team identification and splits 50-50 for ties or cancellations. Verify game date and official NPB announcements.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or Orix Buffaloes wins the game scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles if they win, Orix Buffaloes if they win, or splits 50-50 if the game is postponed, canceled, or ends in a tie
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 2 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Japan NPB game originally scheduled for August 27, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Cancellations or reschedules exceeding two days result in fair price resolution. Ties resolve markets to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the NPB playoff matchup market dashboard shows real-time consensus probabilities, volume of $34,940, and 24-hour volume of $34,630 across platforms. It aggregates how traders on each venue price the likelihood of various outcomes in this matchup. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect shifts in market sentiment, giving you a clear view of where the betting community stands as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds often reflect sharper insights than traditional sportsbook lines because they are driven by a broader set of participants who can trade at any time. On Polymarket, this market shows a probability that can shift rapidly with new pitching changes or injuries. Meanwhile, sportsbooks may lag slightly due to fixed lines and broader public betting patterns. The difference can be especially noticeable for niche matchups like this one, where informed traders may price in factors ahead of the general public.