TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes
polymarket
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes

Volume:
$142,959

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 7:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60,123
N/A
N/A
$50,108
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,561
N/A
N/A
$52,564
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the NPB baseball game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Orix Buffaloes. The markets are designed to resolve based on the result of the game, with specific rules for wins, ties, cancellations, and make-up games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have fundamentally different resolution structures: Kalshi resolves to a binary Yes if either team wins, while Polymarket resolves to specific team outcomes, with additional rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.Hero tip: Traders should be cautious due to the fundamental divergence in how outcomes are resolved between platforms. Consider hedging positions across both markets to manage risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or Orix Buffaloes wins the game scheduled for Aug 6, 2026. No specific handling for ties, cancellations, or postponements mentioned.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles if they win, Orix Buffaloes if they win, remains open if postponed, and resolves 50-50 if canceled or tied. The game in question is scheduled for August 12, not August 6.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 12 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the originally scheduled game on Aug 6, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NPB playoff matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume trends for this contest. It provides a consensus view of market sentiment, with total volume at $142,959 and 24-hour volume of $142,744. The display updates continuously to reflect shifts in trader confidence as the event approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary due to differences in user base and trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each venue may also have distinct exposure to regional or thematic betting patterns, which can skew probabilities temporarily. These variations often even out as the event nears, but they offer diverse opportunities to track sentiment shifts across platforms.