TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes
kalshi
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes

Volume:
$64,624

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 7:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,635
N/A
N/A
$25,158
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,786
N/A
N/A
$18,630
Settled
No
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the baseball match between Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Orix Buffaloes in Japan's Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB) league. The markets will resolve based on the official game result as reported by NPB.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in settlement structure: Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No format while Polymarket uses team-specific outcomes with additional conditions for postponement/cancellation.Hero tip: Traders should be cautious due to differing resolution structures; consider hedging positions across platforms to manage risk from divergent outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the game scheduled for Aug 5, 2026. Key Quote: If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Orix Buffaloes wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team name if they win, remains open if postponed, and splits 50-50 if canceled or tied. Key Quote: If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely... this market will resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 11 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the respective team wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Orix Buffaloes Japan NPB game originally scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. If the game ends in a tie, the markets resolve to 50/50. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The NPB playoff matchup market dashboard aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence in trader sentiment. It tracks the total volume of $64,624 and recent 24-hour volume of $64,404, letting users see how this market is priced on different platforms. The view updates continuously, reflecting the latest probabilities and liquidity for the NPB playoff matchup market.