TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 6:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a single baseball game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Nippon Ham Fighters. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split in the event of a tie or cancellation without a make-up game.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 6 at 3:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, at 3:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, it remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Cancellations or reschedules beyond two days trigger a fair price resolution. Ties resolve to a 50/50 split. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making. The current volume on this market is $234,391.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts impacting the game could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either team could also lead to price adjustments. Major news events affecting the broader NPB league or even the Japanese economy could have a ripple effect, though this is less likely. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved is key to understanding potential market movements.