TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers two separate markets related to Japanese baseball games involving the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. One market focuses on a game against the Orix Buffaloes, while the other focuses on a game against the Nippon Ham Fighters. The outcomes of these games determine how the respective markets resolve.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 5 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Orix Buffaloes wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Price gaps between Polymarket and Kalshi can stem from variations in user bases, liquidity depth, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans who heavily back a particular team, skewing its implied odds. Additionally, differing fee structures or minimum trade sizes can influence how traders place bets, leading to small but meaningful discrepancies. Market design choices — such as how each venue handles order matching or settlement — also contribute to these variations, especially in markets with limited trading volume.