TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 8:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity for evaluation.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total runs scored by both teams in the specified baseball game. Each market has a different threshold for total runs: over 5.5, over 7.5, over 9.5, and over 11.5 runs. If the combined score meets or exceeds any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event happening, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Understanding these differences can inform your trading strategy.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total runs scored in the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles versus Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the final run total. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total runs will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, key player injuries, or changes in weather conditions could significantly impact expectations for the game’s total runs. Pre-game analysis from baseball experts, updated batting lineups, and even early game performance could also cause shifts in the market. Unexpectedly high or low scoring games leading up to this event might also influence trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals can help you identify potential trading opportunities before the market resolves.