TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 9:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity for evaluation.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total runs scored in the specified baseball match. Each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring intensity, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if the combined runs from both teams exceed the respective threshold—5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets refer to the same game, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The resolution for each threshold is independent, allowing for varied outcomes across the different run totals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, over or under a specific total run count. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing perspectives, creating a transparent and efficient way to forecast the total runs scored in the game.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of runs scored in the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles versus Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters game will be the determining factor. The official scorekeeping from the NPB will be used to determine whether the total runs exceed or fall short of the market’s threshold. All trading will cease once the game concludes and the official results are available, triggering the settlement process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or pitching changes for either the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or changes in ballpark factors might prompt traders to adjust their positions. Even general shifts in public sentiment or analysis from baseball experts could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.