TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 3:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the total runs scored by Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters in their August 9, 2026 College Baseball game against multiple run thresholds.
The market resolves to Yes if the combined runs scored by both teams in the specified game exceed thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold is an independent condition, with higher thresholds reflecting greater scoring requirements.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique betting dynamics of Kalshi. Traders incorporate a wider range of data points, including recent team performance and pitcher matchups, which can cause the implied probability to shift more sharply than standard sportsbook odds. Additionally, the lower volume of $45,324 can lead to more volatile price swings compared to larger, more established sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total runs scored during the game will be the final determinant, closing the market once official box scores are published and widely accepted across sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, recent team offensive performance trends, and any last-minute lineup changes. Weather conditions affecting game length or scoring opportunities may also influence trader bets. As Aug 9, 2026 approaches, any update to the expected run environment — whether through news wires or pre-game analysis — can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.