TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 4:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the combined scoring output in a Japan NPB baseball game between Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters scheduled for July 25, 2026. Bettors predict whether the total runs scored by both teams will exceed various thresholds.
The event resolves based on the total combined runs scored by Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters in their Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. Resolution occurs at four distinct run thresholds: if combined scoring exceeds 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, or 11.5 runs, the corresponding market resolves affirmatively. Each threshold represents an independent resolution condition, allowing bettors to take positions on different levels of offensive output in the matchup.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible total runs outcome. The top outcome displayed reflects the aggregate trader expectations and can change rapidly as new data emerges, such as pitcher changes or in-game scoring. Volume of $109,255 over the last 24 hours shows how actively the market is being traded.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total runs scored by both teams in the game will determine which outcome is settled, based on standard verification practices. No additional criteria or complex calculations are involved — the result is straightforward and transparent once official scores are reported.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before resolution, including starting pitcher announcements, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and recent team offensive performance trends. Injuries to key hitters or changes in batting order positioning may also influence trader sentiment. As the game draws nearer, any last-minute roster updates or umpires’ reports could cause noticeable movement in the odds on Kalshi.