TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 8:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in a baseball game between two Japanese professional teams. It allows participants to speculate on whether one team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The outcome depends entirely on the final score of the game.
The event consists of four separate outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters, scheduled for September 24, 2026. Each market resolves based on the winning team and the margin of victory: one market resolves if Hokkaido Nippon-Ham wins by over 2.5 runs, another if they win by over 1.5 runs, a third if Tohoku Rakuten wins by over 1.5 runs, and the final if Tohoku Rakuten wins by over 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and all contain a secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The resolution of each market depends solely on the final score of the game, with no additional conditions or modifications applied.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis from a wider range of sources than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Therefore, you may find differences between the odds offered here and those at sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction markets become more accurate than sportsbook odds as the event approaches, though discrepancies can still occur.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles versus Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final run differential, determining whether the Fighters win by over 1.5 runs, or not. The outcome will be determined by official game statistics, and the market will settle accordingly once these results are publicly available and verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect pitching or hitting, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, performance in recent games, starting pitcher matchups, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Sep 24, 2026.