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405,232

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2,693

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5

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$156,765

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 3:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,559
N/A
N/A
$34,980
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,329
N/A
N/A
$56,784
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a baseball game between the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines 'Yes' as either team winning, while Polymarket defines resolution based on *which* team wins, creating a fundamental difference in market structure.Hero tip: Consider the implications of Kalshi's 'Yes' resolving on either team winning. This may lead to different pricing dynamics compared to Polymarket's market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the specific winning team (Golden Eagles or Hawks), or 50-50 for cancellation/tie. "If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. "If Fukuoka Hawks wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate trading activity for the NPB championship market, allowing users to view a consensus view of predictions. Currently, total volume across both platforms exceeds $156,765, with $150,569 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a comprehensive overview of how traders are pricing the probability of different outcomes in the championship. The dashboard consolidates data from multiple sources, offering a more robust signal than any single platform alone. It's a valuable tool for anyone interested in understanding the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding this event.

Prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate aggregate of informed opinions than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market incentivizes participants to express their true beliefs. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can vary significantly, but often prediction markets demonstrate superior forecasting ability, especially closer to the event. This is because traders can continuously update their positions based on new information, leading to efficient price discovery.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can occur due to several factors. Different user bases, varying liquidity, and distinct market-making strategies all contribute to potential price divergence. Polymarket currently favors the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks at 99.5%, while Kalshi has not established a clear leading outcome. Furthermore, each platform has its own fee structure and risk management protocols, which can influence trading behavior and, consequently, prices. These differences are normal and reflect the decentralized nature of prediction markets, offering traders opportunities for arbitrage.