TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks: Spread
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks: Spread

Volume:
$23,655

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 8:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,376
N/A
N/A
$2,419
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,964
N/A
N/A
$1,522
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,471
N/A
N/A
$10,486
Settled
No
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,844
N/A
N/A
$4,939
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing insight into expected competitive balance. The outcome reflects predictions about how decisively one team might prevail over the other.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various win-margin scenarios for the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks game scheduled for August 14, 2026. Four distinct market outcomes are considered: Fukuoka Hawks winning by over 2.5 runs, Fukuoka Hawks winning by over 1.5 runs, Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 1.5 runs, and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning by over 2.5 runs. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the corresponding run-differential victory in the originally scheduled game. All markets operate independently, and each has identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalsci holds no official affiliation with the Japan NPB league, and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The event collectively offers layered perspectives on potential score disparities without overlapping resolutions across markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating a broader range of data inputs and trader sentiment. While sportsbooks may set lines based on historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets allow for continuous adjustment based on real-time information and can reveal shifts in perceived probabilities before the game begins.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds by buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the market’s view of which team is favored to cover the spread, with price movements driven by new information, trading volume, and shifts in sentiment among participants on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score, which settles whether the favored team meets or fails to meet its designated run differential.

Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and recent performance trends can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. As new information emerges, especially closer to game time, the odds may fluctuate significantly based on how traders reassess the teams’ chances of covering the spread.