TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
polymarket
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

Volume:
$162,492

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 8:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$87,056
N/A
N/A
$61,684
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,499
N/A
N/A
$46,029
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers two distinct NPB baseball match outcomes: one involving the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles against the Fukuoka Hawks, and the other involving the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles against the Chiba Lotte Marines. The outcomes of these games determine the resolution of prediction markets on each platform.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets are structured around entirely different games with distinct resolution criteria, leading to a fundamental divergence in what determines settlement.Hero tip: Traders must verify which specific game each market refers to before trading. The Kalshi market resolves based on the Aug 14 game against Fukuoka Hawks, while the Polymarket resolves based on the August 18 game against Chiba Lotte Marines.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or Fukuoka Hawks win the game scheduled for Aug 14, 2026. Key Quote: If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Fukuoka Hawks wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles if they win, Chiba Lotte Marines if they win, 50-50 if canceled or tied, and remains open if postponed. Key Quote: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles... If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to Chiba Lotte Marines...
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 18 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The NPB playoff matchup market dashboard aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning based on real-time data. It displays total volume of $162,492 and 24-hour volume of $146,263, letting you see where consensus lies and how sentiment shifts before the game.

Injuries to key starters, changes in coaching strategy, and recent performance trends can all shift trader sentiment in this market. As the playoff approaches, any update to the lineup, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, or even shifts in betting volume on traditional sportsbooks may influence probabilities. Traders will also watch for momentum swings during early playoff games, which often foreshadow outcomes and can cause rapid repricing across platforms before the market settles.