TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
kalshi
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

Volume:
$303,728

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 3:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$148,225
N/A
N/A
$103,095
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$154,621
N/A
N/A
$96,261
Settled
No
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers two distinct NPB baseball games involving the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. One market concerns a potential tiebreaker scenario against the Fukuoka Hawks on August 16, 2026, while the other tracks a regular season matchup against the Chiba Lotte Marines on August 20, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental scope difference: Kalshi references a Hawks matchup on Aug 16, 2026 while Polymarket references a Marines matchup on Aug 20, 2026Hero tip: These markets resolve based on completely different games. Treat them as separate bets. Verify each platform's specific game date and opponent before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks game scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles if they win the Aug 20, 2026 game at 5:00AM ET vs Chiba Lotte Marines, or to Chiba Lotte Marines if they win
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 20 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game scheduled for August 16, 2026. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, their market resolves to Yes; if Fukuoka Hawks win, theirs resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market stays open until the rescheduled match finishes, as long as it occurs within two days of the original date. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond this period leads to a fair price resolution. A tied game results in a 50/50 split for both markets.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NPB playoff matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing total volume of $303,728 and 24-hour volume at $302,779. It displays consensus probabilities derived from trader positions on Polymarket and Kalshi, giving a real-time view of market sentiment toward this matchup. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect shifts in trader confidence as the event approaches, making it a single source for tracking how the market evaluates the teams' chances over time.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, and recent performance metrics can all shift this market as the event nears. Traders will also react to playoff seeding announcements, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and any last-minute roster updates. Each new piece of credible information may cause rapid adjustments in implied probabilities, especially on platforms with higher volatility like Polymarket and Kalshi.