TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

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$126,324,530

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406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
kalshi
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

Volume:
$384,292

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

 - Kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 3:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$164,641
N/A
N/A
$106,055
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$638
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$219,013
N/A
N/A
$142,836
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers two distinct NPB baseball match outcomes: one between Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Fukuoka Hawks (August 15, 2026), and another between Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles and Chiba Lotte Marines (August 19, 2026). The group includes markets on Kalshi and Polymarket with differing resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms are resolving entirely different baseball games with distinct outcomes and rulesHero tip: Do not treat these as related markets. Kalshi refers to an August 15 game against Fukuoka Hawks while Polymarket refers to an August 19 game against Chiba Lotte Marines. Verify game dates and teams before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or Fukuoka Hawks win the game scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles if they win the August 19 game vs Chiba Lotte Marines, resolves to Chiba Lotte Marines if they win, remains open for postponements, and splits 50-50 for cancellations or ties
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 19 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NPB playoff matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and divergence across platforms. It tracks the collective view of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi, reflecting how the market prices the potential outcomes. The display includes total volume of $384,292 and recent 24-hour volume of $380,910, giving you a snapshot of market activity and sentiment as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to diverse trader perspectives and real-time information flow. While sportsbooks may set a static line based on historical data, prediction markets adjust continuously as new insights emerge. This creates potential value gaps; for example, a shift in team performance or player injuries can move this market more aggressively than sportsbook adjustments, offering traders unique opportunities to capitalize on mispricings.