TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Barrena and Lukas Neumayer in the Todi, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Alex Barrena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Barrena and Lukas Neumayer in the Todi, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Alex Barrena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders directly set prices through buying and selling shares, which determines the market’s current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects the collective assessment of Polymarket’s user base, updated continuously with each trade. This decentralized pricing captures real-time trader expectations without external adjustments, allowing rapid shifts based on emerging news or analysis.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official match conclusion, reflecting the confirmed winner or draw as reported by authoritative sports databases and news outlets. Traders can anticipate resolution following the match’s official conclusion and subsequent public verification.
Injuries, weather updates, or strategic changes announced by coaches can shift this market as they affect perceived probabilities. Key moments such as pre-match media appearances, betting volume spikes, or analyst commentary may also influence trader sentiment. Any new information that alters expectations for performance or match conditions has the potential to move odds on Polymarket before resolution.