TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 4:03 AM EST
Kalshi
A musical album tracks its worldwide streaming performance during a specific week in June to measure listener engagement across all platforms.
If To Pimp A Butterfly has above 9,807,790 Worldwide Streams during the June 05 - June 11, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the To Pimp A Butterfly streams up this week event is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to the outcome occurring before Jun 15, 2026. Prices range from near zero to near 100, with each point representing one percent probability. Traders buy or sell shares based on their conviction about whether the album will stream this week. The current market price balances supply and demand, and as new developments emerge—such as official announcements or artist social media activity—prices adjust to reflect updated expectations.
The market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether To Pimp A Butterfly becomes available on major streaming platforms during the specified week. The outcome hinges on official streaming service availability and artist or label announcements. Traders should monitor official channels, streaming platforms, and credible entertainment news sources for confirmation. Once the resolution date passes, the market settles based on whether the event criteria have been met, and traders receive payouts according to their positions.
Key signals include official announcements from the artist, record label, or streaming platforms confirming a release date. Social media posts, interviews, or industry reports about re-release plans could shift market odds significantly. Unexpected delays or cancellations would move prices downward. Historical precedent around album re-releases and streaming availability may also influence trader expectations. Any credible news about licensing agreements or platform exclusivity deals could trigger rapid repricing. Traders should track entertainment news outlets and official social channels closely for catalysts that could resolve this event before the deadline.