TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 10,393,594
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 10,393,594 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved May 30, 2026
Closed: May 30, 4:52 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Kendrick Lamar's To Pimp A Butterfly will accumulate more than 10.39 million streams during the May 22–28 tracking week, as measured by Luminate. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 47.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate stream counts for that specific week, with results expected by June 1, 2026. Watch the final streaming numbers released for the May 22–28 tracking period to see whether the album crosses the 10.39 million threshold.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, the market is priced as a binary contract asking whether To Pimp A Butterfly will achieve above 10,393,594 streams on Luminate from May 22–28. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell YES and NO shares; the current odds reflect the probability implied by the order book. As new streaming data, chart performance, and promotional news emerge during the tracking week, the price adjusts to reflect updated market expectations for whether the album will cross the specified threshold.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for To Pimp A Butterfly during the May 22–28 period. The outcome hinges on whether the album's total streams fall above or below the 10,393,594 threshold. Luminate data is the authoritative source; once the tracking week closes and figures are published, the market settles based on the verified stream count.
Several factors may shift odds before resolution. Major playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or other DSPs could boost streams significantly. Chart performance, radio airplay, and social media momentum during the May 22–28 window directly influence listener engagement. Kendrick Lamar announcements, tour news, or collaborations could drive unexpected spikes. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports may also move trader sentiment. Competition from other high-profile releases that week could cannibalize streams, affecting the final count.
