TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Titled Tuesday Winner: September 1
polymarket
kalshi

Titled Tuesday Winner: September 1

Volume:
$23,303

Hans Niemann

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 7:07 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hans Niemann

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hans Niemann

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,248
N/A
N/A
$5,729
Settled
No
polymarket

Magnus Carlsen

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,846
N/A
N/A
$2,229
Settled
No
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$2,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$638
N/A
N/A
$338
Settled
No
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,560
N/A
N/A
$730
Settled
No
polymarket

Arjun Erigaisi

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$745
N/A
N/A
$590
Settled
No
polymarket

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sina Movahed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$412
Settled
No
polymarket

Sina Movahed

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexander Grischuk

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Grischuk

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$338
Settled
No
kalshi

Artin Ashraf

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
$228
Settled
No
polymarket

Dmitry Andreikin

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dmitry Andreikin

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

Ian Nepomniachtchi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
No
polymarket

Ian Nepomniachtchi

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Maxim Matlakov

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$142
Settled
No
polymarket

Frederik Svane

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Frederik Svane

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Shamsiddin Vokhidov

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 143

Description

This group of markets predicts the winner of the Titled Tuesday chess tournament scheduled for September 1, 2026. The markets cover numerous professional chess players, with separate yes/no questions for each contestant's potential victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the official tournament winner declared by Chess.com, with consistent tie-breaking and edge case handling.Primary resolution logic: Official information from Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz)

Core resolution logic:

  • If a listed player wins, their market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No
  • If no listed player wins, the "any other player" market resolves to Yes
  • If multiple listed players are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the player whose name comes first alphabetically
  • If the tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, canceled, or a winner is not declared within that timeframe, all markets resolve to Other (Polymarket) or according to the specific market's cancellation rules (Kalshi)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Postponement: If postponed after September 15, 2026, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi markets resolve according to their specific cancellation rules
  • Multiple Winners: Resolved in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically
  • Unlisted Winner: The "any other player" market resolves to Yes
Timing: Resolution occurs after the tournament concludes on September 1, 2026, and the winner is officially declared by Chess.comOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market specifies that if the named player wins the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for September 1, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets refer to the same event: a blitz-format Swiss tournament consisting of 11 rounds. If any listed player does not participate in the event, their individual market automatically resolves to No. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league organizing the competition, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The markets collectively cover numerous participants, each with identical resolution conditions based on their own performance in the event.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Titled Tuesday September 1 winner market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of each chess player claiming victory. It displays total volume of $23,303 and 24-hour volume of $5,755, letting you compare sentiment across platforms. Because this market pulls from several prediction markets, the dashboard offers a consensus view of where the crowd thinks the tournament will end, updated continuously as new bets place.