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402,751

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Titled Tuesday Winner: June 2nd
kalshi

Titled Tuesday Winner: June 2nd

Volume:
$648

Magnus Carlsen

 - Kalshi

Magnus Carlsen - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Will Magnus Carlsen win the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for June 2nd, 2026 at 11:00am EDT?

Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 10¢ buys you 1,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $1,000 | Net Profit: $900 Multiplier: 10.00x | ROI: 900% | APY: N/A
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
8¢
N/A
$480
0%
N/A
$480
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
15¢
N/A
$79
0%
N/A
$79
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Ian Nepomniachtchi

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
13¢
N/A
$36
0%
N/A
$36
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
13¢
N/A
$27
0%
N/A
$27
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Wesley So

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$19
0%
N/A
$19
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Fabiano Caruana

Trade
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
12¢
N/A
$8
0%
N/A
$8
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Sina Movahed

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Dmitry Andreikin

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Sam Sevian

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Renato Terry Lujan

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

Trade
N/A
N/A
16¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Oleksandr Bortnyk

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Matthias Bluebaum

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Nihal Sarin

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Nikolas Theodorou

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Le Tuan Minh

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Vladislav Artemiev

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Haik Martirosyan

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 25 of 45

Intro

This market tracks whether Hikaru Nakamura will win the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for June 2nd, 2026 at 11:00am EDT. On Kalshi, Nakamura holds a 12.0% probability of victory, while Aravindh Chithambaram is at 8.0%. The market resolves according to the official results from the Titled Tuesday competition. Watch the tournament bracket and pairings announcement leading up to the June 2nd start time to assess player matchups and form.

Frequently asked questions

The Titled Tuesday Winner: June 2nd dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the outcome of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for June 2nd, 2026. It displays the current probability estimate for Magnus Carlsen winning the event, along with 24-hour trading volume of $291 and total group volume of $648. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the market's collective assessment of Carlsen's chances. This live data helps chess fans and bettors monitor sentiment shifts and liquidity as the competition date approaches.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi for the Titled Tuesday Winner event often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and include built-in margins, while prediction markets like Kalshi aggregate continuous trading by informed participants. For major chess events, prediction markets may price Carlsen's chances differently than established betting sites, depending on recent tournament performance, player health, or breaking news. Comparing the two venues reveals how professional traders value the outcome relative to traditional oddsmakers.

On Kalshi, the Titled Tuesday Winner market is priced based on the implied probability that Magnus Carlsen will win the competition originally scheduled for June 2nd, 2026 at 11:00am EDT. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders on Kalshi buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the current price reflecting a 100.0% probability for the top outcome. As new information emerges—such as Carlsen's recent tournament results or field announcements—the price adjusts dynamically. The market's price discovery mechanism allows traders to profit from accurate predictions while continuously updating the odds until resolution.

The Titled Tuesday Winner: June 2nd market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official results of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for that date. The market tracks whether Magnus Carlsen wins the tournament outright. Once the competition concludes and the winner is officially announced, the market settles based on the verified outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria are tied to the official Titled Tuesday tournament records.

Several factors could shift odds for the Titled Tuesday Winner market before Jun 2, 2026. Magnus Carlsen's recent tournament performance and rating changes signal his current form and confidence. Announcements about the final field of competitors affect perceived difficulty. Carlsen's public statements about participation or preparation can influence trader sentiment. Health or personal circumstances affecting his availability may trigger sharp price moves. Upsets or strong performances by rival players in other events could alter perceptions of Carlsen's edge. Breaking chess news, such as rule changes or format adjustments to the Titled Tuesday event, may also impact market pricing as traders reassess probabilities.