TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4
polymarket
kalshi

Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4

Volume:
$29,769

Magnus Carlsen

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 4:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,923
N/A
N/A
$10,667
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Magnus Carlsen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,020
N/A
N/A
$2,818
Settled
No
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wesley So

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wesley So

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
$553
Settled
No
polymarket

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
$360
Settled
No
polymarket

Arjun Erigaisi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
No
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alireza Firouzja

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
$262
Settled
No
polymarket

Alireza Firouzja

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sina Movahed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sina Movahed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$128
Settled
No
polymarket

Volen Dyulgerov

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Volen Dyulgerov

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
polymarket

Fabiano Caruana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabiano Caruana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
No
polymarket

Levon Aronian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Levon Aronian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
polymarket

Vincent Keymer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vincent Keymer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
polymarket

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 132

Description

This group of markets predicts the winner of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for August 4, 2026. The event is organized by Chess.com and features a blitz format. Markets exist on both Kalshi and Polymarket platforms with varying resolution rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the official winner of the August 4, 2026 Titled Tuesday chess event from Chess.com, with consistent handling of post-event deadlines and tie-breaking rulesPrimary resolution logic: Official information from Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the officially declared winner of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition on August 4, 2026
  • If the tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, canceled, or no winner is declared by that time, markets resolve to 'Other' (Polymarket) or equivalent outcomes
  • For Polymarket, if multiple winners are declared, the alphabetically first listed winner wins; Kalshi treats any listed winner as a resolving 'Yes'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement/Cancellation: If the event is postponed beyond August 18, 2026, or canceled, all markets resolve to 'Other' on Polymarket and remain unresolved or settle as per platform-specific rules on Kalshi
  • Multiple Winners: On Polymarket, the alphabetically first declared winner wins; on Kalshi, any declared winner from the listed set triggers a 'Yes' resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official declaration of results by Chess.com, no later than August 18, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market specifies a unique player as the potential winner of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, scheduled for August 4, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. If the named player wins the competition, their respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Additionally, if the specified player does not participate in the event, their market automatically resolves to No. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Titled Tuesday August 4 winner market aggregates data across platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume trends for this chess competition prediction. It displays how Polymarket and Kalshi price the chances of each player winning, along with total volume of $29,769. This cross-platform view helps traders spot consensus or divergence in expectations ahead of the match on August 4.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include player form leading up to the event, recent tournament performances, injuries or schedule changes, and any public statements from participants or analysts. News about tournament conditions, such as venue changes or time control adjustments, may also impact trader sentiment on Polymarket and Kalshi as the August 4 match approaches.