TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Titled Tuesday Top 8: September 1
polymarket
kalshi

Titled Tuesday Top 8: September 1

Volume:
$19,600

Vincent Keymer

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 4:38 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Vincent Keymer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vincent Keymer

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,828
N/A
N/A
$987
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$631
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$770
N/A
N/A
$770
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hans Niemann

100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
$565
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hans Niemann

100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wesley So

100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
$242
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wesley So

100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oleksandr Bortnyk

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Oleksandr Bortnyk

100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Denis Lazavik

100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,037
N/A
N/A
$3,447
Settled
No
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,313
N/A
N/A
$1,205
Settled
No
polymarket

Arjun Erigaisi

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$806
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
polymarket

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$767
N/A
N/A
$758
Settled
No
polymarket

Magnus Carlsen

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Grischuk

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexander Grischuk

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Volen Dyulgerov

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 134

Description

This group of markets predicts whether specific chess players will finish in the top 8 of the Titled Tuesday tournament scheduled for September 1, 2026. The outcome depends on the final standings published by Chess.com after the tournament concludes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets use identical resolution criteria based on Chess.com’s official standings for the September 1, 2026 Titled Tuesday tournament.Primary resolution logic: Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to "Yes" if the player finishes in the top 8 per Chess.com’s official standings
  • Resolve to "No" if the player does not finish in the top 8, does not play, or if the tournament is postponed/canceled with no standings published by September 15, 2026
  • Credible reporting may supplement Chess.com data if needed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement/Cancellation: If the tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, or canceled, all markets resolve to "No"
  • Missing Standings: If Chess.com fails to publish standings by September 15, 2026, markets resolve to "No"
Timing: Resolution occurs after the tournament concludes and Chess.com publishes final standings, but no later than September 15, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 8 of Titled Tuesday on September 1, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market specifies that if the named player finishes within the top eight positions in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for September 1, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The competition follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss-system tournament structure. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league and that all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. Resolution depends solely on the player's final ranking relative to the top-eight threshold, with no additional conditions or exceptions applied across markets.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Titled Tuesday Top 8 market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the chances of top chess players reaching the final eight on September 1. It displays consensus probabilities, volume trends, and cross-platform comparisons, allowing users to see where market sentiment aligns or diverges. This unified view helps participants gauge overall interest and detect shifts in expectations as the event approaches. With volume at $19,600 across platforms, the dashboard offers a clear snapshot of collective wisdom for this market.