TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Titled Tuesday Top 8: August 4
kalshi
polymarket

Titled Tuesday Top 8: August 4

Volume:
$17,352

Magnus Carlsen

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 4:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,919
N/A
N/A
$1,445
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Magnus Carlsen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,170
N/A
N/A
$1,140
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arjun Erigaisi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hans Niemann

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,121
N/A
N/A
$1,121
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hans Niemann

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,082
N/A
N/A
$1,082
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
$632
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jeffery Xiong

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
$453
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jeffery Xiong

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aravindh Chithambaram

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aravindh Chithambaram

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jose Martinez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$893
N/A
N/A
$790
Settled
No
polymarket

Jose Martinez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alireza Firouzja

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$697
N/A
N/A
$696
Settled
No
polymarket

Alireza Firouzja

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$467
Settled
No
polymarket

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$430
N/A
N/A
$430
Settled
No
polymarket

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vladislav Artemiev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$427
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 123

Description

This group of markets tracks whether specific chess players will finish in the top 8 of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for August 4, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final standings published by the tournament organizer, Chess.com.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket use the same resolution criteria: a player must finish in the top 8 of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition on August 4, 2026, as per Chess.com's official standings. Non-participation or tournament cancellation results in a "No" outcome.Primary resolution logic: Official information from Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 8 of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition on August 4, 2026.
  • Market resolves to "No" if the player does not participate, the tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, canceled, or final standings are not published within the specified timeframe.
  • Resolution source is official information from Chess.com, with credible reporting as a secondary source.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Postponement: If the tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, all markets resolve to "No".
  • Player Non-Participation: If the listed player does not participate in the tournament, the market resolves to "No".
  • Tournament Cancellation: If the tournament is canceled, all markets resolve to "No".
Timing: Resolution occurs after the final standings are published by Chess.com, no later than August 18, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 4, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player finishes within the top eight positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for August 4, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. All markets share the same underlying event and timing, with resolution based solely on the final standings of each named participant. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the Titled Tuesday Top 8 market dashboard aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of players reaching the final eight in the August 4 chess event. It displays current implied probabilities, total volume of $17,352, and 24-hour volume of $9,583, letting users compare sentiment across platforms. This unified view helps participants spot shifts in market expectations as the tournament approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader bases and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might see heavier volume from chess specialists who value deeper tournament knowledge, while another could lean toward broader retail interest. These differences in participation and information flow naturally lead to varied implied probabilities, especially when no clear favorite emerges.

Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries or withdrawals, high-profile match outcomes in early tournament rounds, and shifting analyst commentary on contender form. As the August 4 event nears, any update to player rankings, tournament seeding announcements, or unexpected tournament format changes may also cause rapid re-pricing across Polymarket and Kalshi.