TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Titled Tuesday Top 5: August 4
polymarket
kalshi

Titled Tuesday Top 5: August 4

Volume:
$9,290

Magnus Carlsen

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 4:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,549
N/A
N/A
$1,490
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Magnus Carlsen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,231
N/A
N/A
$1,231
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,169
N/A
N/A
$1,169
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arjun Erigaisi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jeffery Xiong

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
$546
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jeffery Xiong

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$431
N/A
N/A
$420
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hans Niemann

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
$461
Settled
No
polymarket

Hans Niemann

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
polymarket

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$307
N/A
N/A
$307
Settled
No
polymarket

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jose Martinez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$304
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
No
polymarket

Jose Martinez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vladislav Artemiev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
polymarket

Vladislav Artemiev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Levon Aronian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Levon Aronian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
polymarket

Wesley So

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wesley So

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
polymarket

Fabiano Caruana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 123

Description

This group of markets tracks whether specific chess players will finish in the top 5 of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for August 4, 2026. The event is a blitz chess tournament organized by Chess.com, and markets resolve based on the final standings published by the tournament organizer.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket use the same resolution criteria based on final standings published by Chess.com, with consistent rules for player participation, tournament cancellation, and publication deadlines.Primary resolution logic: Official information from Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition on August 4, 2026
  • Market resolves to "No" if the player does not finish in the top 5, does not play, or if the tournament is postponed, canceled, or final standings are not published by August 18, 2026

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Postponement: If the tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, all markets resolve to "No"
  • Player Withdrawal: If a listed player does not participate in the tournament, their market resolves to "No"
Timing: Resolution occurs after the publication of final standings by Chess.com, but no later than August 18, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on August 4, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the named player finishes within the top five positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for August 4, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. All markets share the same competition details and timing, with resolution based solely on the final standings of each specified participant. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Titled Tuesday August 4 market aggregates betting data across platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume for who will finish in the top five. It pulls in odds and liquidity from multiple venues so you can see how the consensus view evolves as the event approaches. The display includes total volume of $9,290 and 24-hour volume of $4,850, letting users compare activity levels and spot shifts in trader sentiment ahead of the competition.

Key signals include high-profile player performances in warm-up events, injury updates or schedule changes, and shifting trainer or participant statements that hint at form. As the tournament draws nearer, any news about seedings, match pairings, or unexpected withdrawals can reshape expectations. On Polymarket and Kalshi, large trades or growing volume may also push prices, especially if they reflect insider sentiment or media coverage swings.