TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Titled Tuesday Top 5: August 18
polymarket
kalshi

Titled Tuesday Top 5: August 18

Volume:
$13,422

Arjun Erigaisi

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 7:16 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,008
N/A
N/A
$1,903
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arjun Erigaisi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,006
N/A
N/A
$1,995
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parham Maghsoodloo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$683
N/A
N/A
$683
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Parham Maghsoodloo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$531
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Le Tuan Minh

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$529
N/A
N/A
$529
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Le Tuan Minh

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tuomas Turunen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hans Niemann

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,309
N/A
N/A
$1,209
Settled
No
polymarket

Hans Niemann

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
$539
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$541
N/A
N/A
$541
Settled
No
polymarket

Magnus Carlsen

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
$406
Settled
No
polymarket

Denis Lazavik

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeffery Xiong

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$339
N/A
N/A
$339
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeffery Xiong

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
$233
Settled
No
polymarket

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alireza Firouzja

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
polymarket

Alireza Firouzja

View
0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 129

Description

This event group tracks whether specific chess players will finish in the top 5 of the Titled Tuesday tournament on August 18, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final standings published by the tournament organizer, Chess.com.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets use identical resolution criteria based on final tournament standings published by Chess.com.Primary resolution logic: Official information from Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the Titled Tuesday tournament on August 18, 2026
  • Market resolves to "No" if the player does not participate, or if the tournament is postponed/canceled after September 1, 2026
  • Resolution source is official standings from Chess.com, with credible reporting as a secondary source

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Postponement: If the tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, all markets resolve to "No"
  • Player Withdrawal: If a listed player does not participate in the tournament, their market resolves to "No"
Timing: Resolution occurs after the tournament concludes and final standings are published by Chess.com, but no later than October 1, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether a specific player finishes in the top five positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for August 18, 2026, at 11:00am EDT. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution for each player depends solely on their individual performance relative to the top-five cutoff. No affiliation or endorsement exists between Kalshi and the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Titled Tuesday Top 5 market aggregates data across multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and volume trends. It displays how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of each player finishing in the top five. You can see total volume of $13,422 and recent 24-hour volume of $5,898, offering a snapshot of market activity and sentiment as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, community-driven insights compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set prices based on broader public betting patterns and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their knowledge of player form and tournament dynamics. This can create price differences, especially when niche expertise moves the market on platforms with lower volume.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through user-driven trading, while Kalshi may use different liquidity models or participant dynamics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, market depth, trader sentiment, and regional participation can all create pricing gaps. The way each platform handles order execution and fee structures also plays a role. Additionally, differences in how quickly new information is incorporated can lead to temporary mismatches. Over time, as more data flows in, prices across Polymarket and Kalshi often converge, but until then, expect to see variance influenced by these platform-specific factors.