TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Titled Tuesday Top 3: September 15
kalshi
polymarket

Will the player finish in the top 3?

Volume:
$6,332

Hikaru Nakamura

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 11:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,286
N/A
N/A
$1,276
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
No
polymarket

Vincent Keymer

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
Yes
kalshi

Vincent Keymer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Liem Le

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sina Movahed

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
Yes
kalshi

Sina Movahed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,336
N/A
N/A
$937
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
Yes
kalshi

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Oleksandr Bortnyk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
$401
Settled
No
polymarket

Oleksandr Bortnyk

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
No
kalshi

Jeffery Xiong

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
$401
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeffery Xiong

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
No
kalshi

Parham Maghsoodloo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
polymarket

Parham Maghsoodloo

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
No
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
$264
Settled
No
polymarket

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
No
kalshi

Hans Niemann

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$222
N/A
N/A
$222
Settled
No
polymarket

Hans Niemann

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
No
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
No
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
No
kalshi

Dmitry Andreikin

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
polymarket

Dmitry Andreikin

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
No
kalshi

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
polymarket

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 43m
No
Total markets: 25 of 135

Description

This event group concerns predictions about which chess players will finish in the top 3 of the Titled Tuesday weekly blitz tournament on September 15, 2026. Multiple markets exist for individual players, predicting their likelihood of achieving a top-3 finish.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Redundant market creation across platforms, with Polymarket explicitly citing Chess.com as the primary source for resolution.Hero tip: Focus on the official Chess.com standings for resolution, as Polymarket prioritizes this source. Kalshi's resolution will likely align, but lacks the explicit source guarantee.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Each market asks if a specific player will finish in the top 3. Resolution is based on the final standings published by Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz). If the tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, or standings aren't published by then, the market resolves to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Each market asks if a specific player will finish in the top 3. Resolution is based on finishing in the top 3, with no explicit source mentioned beyond the tournament itself.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of Titled Tuesday on September 15, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player finishes in the top three positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for September 8, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome for one player does not affect others. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates trading activity for the Titled Tuesday chess market, providing a consensus view of predictions about which players will finish in the top three. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $6,332, with $4,017 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see how the crowd is assessing the probabilities of different outcomes. The dashboard tracks the implied probabilities derived from the prices offered on each platform, giving a comprehensive overview of sentiment surrounding the competition.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Unexpected results in preliminary rounds of the Titled Tuesday competition, news regarding player health or participation, or even shifts in expert opinions about player form could all cause price fluctuations. Major upsets or surprising performances by underdogs would likely lead to substantial movement in the odds. Additionally, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could influence prices, especially if they indicate a strong conviction about a particular outcome.