TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Titled Tuesday Top 3: Sep 22
kalshi

Who will finish in the top 3?

Volume:
$3,798

Denis Lazavik

 - Kalshi

Denis Lazavik - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 23, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 9:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denis Lazavik

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
$177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alireza Firouzja

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
$119
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ian Nepomniachtchi

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,101
N/A
N/A
$687
Settled
No
kalshi

Vincent Keymer

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
No
kalshi

Sina Movahed

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnus Carlsen

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
$231
Settled
No
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Hans Niemann

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Tobias Koelle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Oleksandr Bortnyk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
kalshi

Liem Le

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabiano Caruana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Dmitry Andreikin

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Sevian

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Terry Lujan

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthias Bluebaum

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wesley So

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nihal Sarin

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nikolas Theodorou

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 71

Description

This event tracks the performance of various chess players in a weekly competition, resolving based on their finishing positions. Each participant's market outcome depends solely on whether they secure a top-three placement in the scheduled tournament.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player finishes in the top three positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for September 22, 2026. The event follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. If the designated player does not participate in the event, their respective market automatically resolves to 'No'. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Polls and analysts’ predictions often align more closely with prediction market probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds do, as both attempt to gauge the likelihood of events based on information and analysis. However, it’s important to remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.

This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final standings of the Titled Tuesday chess tournament are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers, determining which players achieved a top-three finish. The market will then settle, and winning contracts will be paid out according to their price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will be determined.

Several factors could influence the market leading up to Sep 22, 2026. Unexpected results in preliminary rounds of the tournament, news regarding a player’s health or form, or even significant shifts in public perception could all cause price movements. Strong performances by underdogs or upsets involving favored players would likely lead to substantial changes in the odds. Any announcements about player participation or tournament conditions could also impact trading activity and the probabilities reflected in this market.