TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
$
This market tracks whether Hikaru Nakamura will place in the top three of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 11:00am EDT. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 33.0%, with Denis Lazavik finishing top 3 at 14.5%. Resolution will be determined by the official Titled Tuesday competition results. Watch the rapid-format matches on June 2, 2026 at 11:00am EDT to see how Nakamura performs against the field of titled players.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader sentiment and are often more responsive to breaking news than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds more slowly and build in wider margins. For the Titled Tuesday Top 3 event, the prediction market captures direct crowd belief about Nakamura's placement chances, whereas sportsbooks may price based on historical models and risk management. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing Nakamura's chances more bullishly or bearishly than conventional oddsmakers, offering insight into where informed traders see edge.
On Kalshi, the Titled Tuesday Top 3 market is priced as a binary contract: traders buy or sell shares reflecting the probability that Hikaru Nakamura finishes in the top 3. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price implies 100.0% probability for that outcome. Share prices range from $0 to $1, with the spread between bid and ask reflecting liquidity and uncertainty. Total volume of $154 USD shows cumulative interest in the contract. As new information emerges about player form or tournament structure, the price adjusts to reflect updated trader expectations.
The Titled Tuesday Top 3: Jun 2 market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final standings of the Titled Tuesday chess competition held on that date. The market will settle based on whether Hikaru Nakamura's finishing position places him in the top 3 of the tournament field. Once the official results are published, the contract will be marked to either YES or NO, and traders' positions will be settled accordingly. The outcome is objective and verifiable through the tournament's official records.
Several factors could shift the market price before Jun 2, 2026. Nakamura's recent tournament results and rating performance will influence trader confidence in his top-3 finish. Announcements about the tournament field strength, format changes, or player withdrawals could alter perceived difficulty. Public statements from Nakamura about his preparation or health status may trigger repricing. Broader chess news—such as updates on his competitive schedule or rival player form—can also move sentiment. Real-time trading activity and large position entries by informed traders often signal conviction shifts, prompting other participants to adjust their bids and asks.