TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Titled Tuesday Top 3: August 18
polymarket
kalshi

Titled Tuesday Top 3: August 18

Volume:
$7,326

Arjun Erigaisi

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 7:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arjun Erigaisi

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,840
N/A
N/A
$1,740
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arjun Erigaisi

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Parham Maghsoodloo

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$669
N/A
N/A
$669
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Parham Maghsoodloo

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Le Tuan Minh

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$498
N/A
N/A
$494
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Le Tuan Minh

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hans Niemann

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,203
N/A
N/A
$1,203
Settled
No
polymarket

Hans Niemann

0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aleksei Sarana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,148
N/A
N/A
$1,148
Settled
No
polymarket

Aleksei Sarana

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alireza Firouzja

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
$603
Settled
No
polymarket

Alireza Firouzja

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tuomas Turunen

0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sina Movahed

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
$170
Settled
No
polymarket

Sina Movahed

0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hikaru Nakamura

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
No
polymarket

Hikaru Nakamura

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Sevian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
polymarket

Sam Sevian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabiano Caruana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
polymarket

Fabiano Caruana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Wesley So

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
polymarket

Wesley So

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
polymarket

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 129

Description

This group of markets predicts whether specific chess players will finish in the top 3 of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for August 18, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final standings published by the tournament organizer, Chess.com.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets use identical resolution criteria based on final standings published by Chess.com.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026
  • Market resolves to "No" if the player does not finish in the top 3, does not play, or if the tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, canceled, or final standings are not published within the specified timeframe

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Player does not play: Market resolves to "No" regardless of other circumstances
  • Tournament postponed after September 1, 2026: All markets resolve to "No"
  • Final standings not published within timeframe: All markets resolve to "No"
Timing: Resolution occurs after the publication of final standings for the Titled Tuesday event on August 18, 2026, but no later than September 2, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether a specific player finishes in the top three positions of the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition scheduled for August 18, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. The competition follows a blitz format and consists of 11 rounds in a Swiss tournament structure. All markets share the same event details, timing, and format, with resolution based solely on the final standings of each named player. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Titled Tuesday August 18 top 3 market aggregates predictions across multiple venues, showing how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of players finishing in the top three. It displays current probabilities, volume of $7,326 and 24-hour volume of $2,815, offering a consensus view of market sentiment as the event approaches.

On Polymarket, this market shows a consensus view shaped by active traders, often reflecting real-time sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbook odds incorporate broader factors like historical performance and public betting trends, while prediction markets focus on the probability of specific outcomes as assessed by participants. The difference can be notable, with prediction markets sometimes pricing in nuances or shifts faster than sportsbooks. For this market, the gap may also reflect varying liquidity and trader interest, leading to divergent implied probabilities.